> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.seer.pm/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# References

Sources cited throughout the whitepaper. Each one also appears as a footnote on the page that cites it.

## Why previous prediction markets failed

* [Prediction Markets versus Alternative Methods: Empirical Tests of Accuracy and Acceptability](https://publikationen.bibliothek.kit.edu/1000012363/945658) — Andreas Graefe, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (2009)
* [Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking”](https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/judgment-and-decision-making/article/are-markets-more-accurate-than-polls-the-surprising-informational-value-of-just-asking/B78F61BC84B1C48F809E6D408903E66D) — *Judgment and Decision Making*
* [Betteridge's law of headlines](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betteridge%27s_law_of_headlines) — Wikipedia
* [Designing Real Terrorism Futures](http://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/realterf.pdf) — Robin Hanson, *Public Choice* (2006)
* [Policy Analysis Market Archive](http://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/policyanalysismarket.html) — Robin Hanson
* [How betting platform PredictIt's legal struggle could hamper regulators and hurt regulated firms](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-betting-platform-predictits-legal-struggle-could-hamper-regulators-and-hurt-regulated-firms/) — Connor Raso, Brookings Institution (2023)
* [CFTC Fines Crypto Betting Service Polymarket \$1.4M for Unregistered Swaps](https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2022/01/03/cftc-fines-crypto-betting-service-polymarket-14m-for-unregistered-swaps/) — CoinDesk (2022)

## Seer Solution

* [Retroactive Public Goods Funding](https://medium.com/ethereum-optimism/retroactive-public-goods-funding-33c9b7d00f0c) — Optimism (2021)
* [Liberal Radicalism: A Flexible Design For Philanthropic Matching Funds](https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3243656) — Vitalik Buterin, Zoë Hitzig & E. Glen Weyl (SSRN, 2018)
* [Sismo](https://www.sismo.io)
* [Proof of Humanity](https://proofofhumanity.id)
* [Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?](http://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/futarchy.pdf) — Robin Hanson
* [Thread by Clément Lesaege (@clesaege)](https://twitter.com/clesaege/status/1608734025832861701) — X
* [Balaji Srinivasan bets \$1M on Bitcoin hitting \$1M within 90 days due to US hyperinflation](https://decrypt.co/news-explorer?pinned=134621\&title=balaji-srinivasan-bets-1m-on-bitcoin-hitting-1m-within-90-days-due-to-us-hyperinflation) — Decrypt (2023)
* [Curve Finance](https://curve.fi/)
* [Balancer](https://balancer.fi/)
* [Did SushiSwap Really “Steal” Liquidity from UniSwap?](https://blog.flipsidecrypto.com/sushiswap-benefits-uniswap/) — Flipside Crypto
* [Conditional Tokens Explorer](https://cte.gnosis.io) — Gnosis
* [1inch Network](https://1inch.io)
* [ParaSwap](https://www.paraswap.io)
* [CoW Protocol](https://cow.fi)
* [Kleros](https://kleros.io)
* [Vickrey auction](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vickrey_auction) — Wikipedia
* [Commitment scheme](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commitment_scheme) — Wikipedia

## Applications

* [Kleros Curate](https://curate.kleros.io/)
* [Omen](https://aiomen.eth.link)

## Further reading

Not cited in the text, but relevant background:

* [reality.eth](https://reality.eth.limo) — the crowd-sourced oracle Seer builds on
* [An Introduction to Artificial Prediction Markets for Classification](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1102.1465.pdf) — Adrian Barbu & Nathan Lay, *Journal of Machine Learning Research* (2012)
* [Online Prediction via Continuous Artificial Prediction Markets](https://purehost.bath.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/154450362/ieee_intelligent_systems_accepted_manuscript.pdf) — Jahedpari et al., *IEEE Intelligent Systems* (2017)
* [Metaculus](https://www.metaculus.com)
* [Quantified Intuitions](https://www.quantifiedintuitions.org)


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